2.12.2011

Egypt

Scenarios for Egypt’s Future: How Democratic Will it Be? | Informed Comment

The Propaganda Network is trying to convice Americans that an Iran-like, Islamic revolution is just around the corner. The more level-headed out there, like Juan Cole at the link above, realize that Egypt is different and isn't really at risk of a fundamentalist take-over, at least for now.

Personally, I think the ultimate result will depend more on the actions of those in power than any revolutionary group. The more they fight to hold back real reform, the more radical the final outcome will be. Like the shifting of continents, political change in frequent, small shake-ups, reduces the chance of "the big one" down the road.

tnb

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