Today's US is not the same country I grew up in.
Netanyahu got what he wanted. Well, It should stop the flow of the Epstein files.
An Unpopular, Doomed, Bloody War: People will die and nothing will be accomplished
The U.S. reputation as a fair dealer and reliable partner will be in shambles. Yet again, the Trump administration has apparently used peace talks as a pretext for striking at an adversary, making it pointless for future adversaries to engage in negotiations. If negotiations are a way of resolving disputes without overt conflict even if “all options are on the table”, then scuppering your own reputation for negotiating is folly—and harmful in the long term. Other countries will also now be vastly more wary of letting the United States place bases on their soil, and I wouldn’t be surprised if we see U.S. forces evicted or substantially limited in the future.
U.S. military prowess is also being risked. A lucky Iranian Silkworm missile could deal a blow to the Navy’s reputation (how close were navy vessels to being hit by the Houthis?); attacks on Al-Udeid or refineries in Saudi Arabia or elsewhere (should they be allowed to be publicized) could become iconic images of America’s inability to protect its allies from aggression.
And, of course, people will die.
Europe, Australia, Japan, and other “Western” powers will probably actually, finally accelerate their move toward security self-reliance rather than engaging with an erratic, dangerous superpower that shows little regard for its partners. De-risking America will become a priority. By contrast, outside the region, China will look awfully sensible and reliable. (What of their military purges? Well, what of them—it’s not like the United States isn’t also purging its military for political reasons, just by terminating contracts with colleges and corporations.)
On a deeper level, a war of this magnitude and these objectives entirely bypassing not only the UN system but also the Arab League or other regional organizations will strain the fabric of international order and make the United States, for all its might and wealth, an incipient pariah.
Thanks for the post. It’s another dark day.
ReplyDeleteWhen did you grow up in the United States?
U.S. attacked Vietnam 1959 to 1975.
Grenada 1983.
Panama 1989.
Iraq in 1990-1991 Desert Shield/Storm.
Afghanistan 2001 to 2021.
Iraq again 2003 to 2011.
Iraq again with Syria ISIS/ISIL 2014 to 2021.
Venezuela January 2026