11.30.2012

Propaganda

You just can't believe what you see or hear in our media.

[AP Exclusive: Graph suggests Iran working on bomb]

The Graph

The undated diagram that was given to the AP by officials of a country critical of Iran's atomic program allegedly calculating the explosive force of a nuclear weapon _ a key step in developing such arms. The diagram shows a bell curve and has variables of time in micro-seconds and power and energy, both in kilotons _ the traditional measurement of the energy output, and hence the destructive power of nuclear weapons. The curve peaks at just above 50 kilotons at around 2 microseconds, reflecting the full force of the weapon being modeled. The Farsi writing at the bottom translates "changes in output and in energy released as a function of time through power pulse" (AP Photo)

[Fox Picks it up]

[Fox Again]

[MSNBC runs it]


Yet the internet believes it to be a hoax.

[google search: ap Iran nuclear chart hoax]

Glenn Greenwald has more [GG-1] [GG-2]

Our media is not trying to inform the public, they simply manipulate their beliefs.


The UN Vote on Palestine

Juan Cole has more on the UN Palestine vote, including the map below.

Palestinian Legal strategy against Israel: The Real Prize is Europe | Informed Comment:

Green: In favor; Red: Against; Yellow: Abstain; Blue: Absent; Grey: Non-Members



Back to my earlier post, NPR reported that the US and Israel voted against. France and Spain voted in favor and Germany and Great Britain abstained.

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11.29.2012

Israel and The US vs Palestine

Some crappy reporting from NPR this evening.

I heard on NPR this evening (11/29/2012) that the UN voted to approve Palestine's bid to become a non-member observer state. NPR reported that the US and Israel voted against the resolution while France and Spain voted for it and Germany and Great Britain abstained. That was it!? Two for it, Two against it and Two abstaining. Now, that is technically true but it gives NPR's listeners the false sense that it was a close vote.

It wasn't close. The final vote was 138 to 9 with 41 abstentions. World powers Panama, Palau, Canada, Marshall Islands, Nauru, Czech Republic and Micronesia joined the US and Israel in voting against the resolution. That's 9 of 188 nations voting NO.

NPRs story made it sound like a close vote. Again, it wasn't. They should have reported the actual vote and asked why we are so alone on this issue.

tnb

11.21.2012

Sane Republicans

Bruce Bartlett is one of the last of a species on the edge of extinction.

Bruce Bartlett: The New Republican Tax Policy - NYTimes.com:
 "In short, we have tested starve-the-beast theory in the laboratory, and it has failed miserably. "

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11.18.2012

Israel vs Gaza

Stop pretending the US is an uninvolved, helpless party in the Israeli assault on Gaza | Glenn Greenwald | Comment is free | guardian.co.uk:

The US government could stop this in a minute if they wanted to. Actually many in the government probably do want it to stop, they just can't afford to say it since it would be a political death sentence.

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Looking ahead to 2014

Democrats Unlikely to Regain House in 2014 - NYTimes.com:

I'd have to agree with Nate Silver who thinks its unlikely that Democrats will regain the house in 2014. 

Everyone, well at least a majority, will turn out for a Presidential election cycle but basically the only people who turn out for the off-cycle elections are,...well,..... old. I guess the old and the "really-pissed-off-at-government" types would be more accurate, at least they were the dominant groups in 2010 and should be again in 2014. So who are these people? The Fox News and Propaganda Network viewer.

The old have the time and care about the off cycle elections so they'll turn out without the propaganda but hell, most of them (at least in my rural mid-west area) spend their day in front of The Propaganda Network listening to all the bad stuff that "colored  boy" is trying to do to "their" America. Most are scared to death of the socialist menace.

The "Pissed-off-at-government" types, again in my area, tend to be people who spend their day with either The Propaganda Network or right-wing talk radio blabbing in the background. They go home at night to read the latest NRA publication and tune into The Propaganda Network to find out what the "Main Stream Media" is hiding from them. They're determined to get that Gun and God Hating Kenyan, Muslim, Socialist out of the White House and take back "White Real America".

Both of these groups are going to vote in big numbers in 2014 and they're not going to vote Democrat.

I don't think the democrats have a chance in hell of winning an off-cycle election unless they find a way to generate some enthusiasm from their base. At least until the current group of retirees die off,... and honestly, I hope they do before they kill Social Security for me.


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Buying Government

I guess the Republican party released a document that was widely praised by the more progressive side of the copyright debate, only to withdraw it for some reason,.... cough cough,.. after an uprising from the Hollywood-big-money types.

Links here House Republicans release watershed copyright reform paper - Boing Boing:

and here Hollywood Lobbyists Busy

From the Boing-Boing link above the document included
a raft of eminently sensible reforms to copyright law, including expanding and clarifying fair use; reaffirming that copyright's purpose is to serve the public interest (not to enrich investors); to limit statutory damages for copyright infringement; to punish false copyright claims; and to limit copyright terms.
From the second link, the Republican retraction included...
Copyright reform would have far-reaching impacts, so it is incredibly important that it be approached with all facts and viewpoints in hand.
I think that Republican statement means "our previous document failed to include the feelings of the people who are currently making obscene profits under our current law".

I thought the Democrats were the party of Hollywood?




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11.08.2012

The Election - Two days after

A couple looks at the election that are worth the time..One from GinAndTacos and the second from Bill Maher.

BREAKING NEWS: DATA IS MORE ACCURATE THAN MAKING SHIT UP | Gin and Tacos:




I think about about two-thirds of Republicans don't really trust all that math/sciency stuff and prefer the Bible's or "their-best-friend's-cousin-who-knows-somebody-who-knows" explanation of how things are. The other third are happy to exploit their peers to make a buck.



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Informed Comment: Thoughts on the Middle East, History and Religion

I like Juan Cole and this is a good, informative post but he pulled a punch ....

Informed Comment: Thoughts on the Middle East, History and Religion:

"Except that if we look at the composition of the 2010 Congress, for instance, we find that it was 57% Protestant and 29% Catholic and 7% Jewish. The general population is 51% Protestant and 24% Catholic, so that these two branches of Christianity are actually over-represented in the political class. And, Episcopalians and Presbyterians, the members of the old WASP denominations, are over-represented among the Protestants. Only 43 members of that Congress were African-American, i.e. less than 10% and less than their proportion in the general population. 28 members were Latinos. Women held 90 seats, or about 17% and were obviously grossly under-represented in favor of men."

He hits on the over/under representation of various groups in the US but fails to add that the Jewish faith is over represented in the US congress. He gives the fact that in 2010 7% of Congress were Jewish but fails to follow-up with the Jewish percent of the population. In 2010 it was 1.2% [Wikipedia].

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11.07.2012

The Election - The Day After #2

A great opening paragraph from Digby.

[Hullabaloo]
"I'm sure there is a lot of soul-searching and rending of garments in Republican circles this morning, asking "how could this have happened?" Obviously, there are a lot of reasons, not the least of which is that they have been acting like barbarians for the past four years and all the non-tea drinking normal people finally put their collective foot down. Being the party of racists, sexists  and greedy plutocrats in a country with a non-white, female, middle and working class majority may not be the smartest electoral strategy."

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The Election - The Day After

SO the right-wingers were wrong about the polls. Well,.. they were either wrong or they were lying. In either case, why would you trust them to run your country?

tnb

11.06.2012

The Election

Well, it's all most over.

Now, we won't be bombarded with endless, vote-suppressing, election-stealing, everyone's-lying, election coverage and, ... assuming Nate Silver (below) is correct and Obama wins, we can return to the good old days of endless Fox News fueled, oh-my-god-he's-a-Socialist, Marxist, Communist, Kenyan, Muslim, gun-and-bible-stealing black man, Right-wing freak-out. Of course if Romney wins we'll have endless, that-rich, brown-people-hating, war-mongering, election-stealer is stealing-from-me-and-giving-it-to-his-rich-friends Left-wing freak-out.

Oh well, the 2016 cycle start in about 24 hours.

My head hurts....

Dangerous Minds | Obama has 88% chance of winning election according to final Nate Silver forecast before vote:



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11.05.2012

Random stuff

[Electorial Analysis from GinAndTacos]

I believe our election process will eventually tear us apart:
[Tearing us apart]
[Tearing us apart2]
[Tearing us apart3]

Oh Shit...[2016 has started]

[The Propaganda Machine Turns it up a notch]
[The Propaganda Machine Turns it up a notch - #2]

Of course, [The Propaganda Machine helps tear us apart]

It easy to divide people if you can [keep them from the facts]

Also, I waited all weekend for a last minute dirty trick, WTF. Could it be that both campaigns have fired all of their shots? Come on 60 minutes, couldn't you find a last minute Romney drunk driving arrest?

The Propaganda Machine is still hammering on [Benghazi]. What ever happened to Romney's taxes?

I don't think free elections can stand much more free-market media, we're on a path to using bullets to elect our leaders.

tnb

Eschaton: Good Buys

Yet another Liberal blogger not telling the truth about Adelson.

Eschaton: Good Buys:
A sincere question. Take Sheldon Adelson, for instance. Suppose the math is true, and Romney loses. Adelson spent x trying to install politicians who would save him tax money. Let y = the money he would have spent if he'd just shut up and paid the tax bill Obama actually proposed. I don't imagine this is an easy question to answer once you get into the weeds of it, but I'd offer the hypothesis that in the end, it's very possible that the absurdly wealthy are paying more for pointless advocacy than they would ever pay under an historically moderate tax regime.

This comment would apply to most of Romney's backers but it misses it mark with Adelson. Adelson doesn't care about a few million in taxes. He has enough money. He wants complete US support of Israel and doesn't think Obama is doing enough, so,..  he's buying Romney.

Adelson is, in effect, spending money on the US election in the name of a foreign state.

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11.04.2012

Prediction?

I keep having this crazy dream,.... Romney wins in a squeaker, Democrat voters stayed home because they thought Obama had the election won. Nate Silver and the liberal bloggers had told them so.

My internet went silent as liberal bloggers sat in stunned silence.



11.03.2012

The Nate Silver backlash

Ezra Klein on the Nate-Silver-analytical-types vs the political-pundit types.

The Nate Silver backlash:

Come to think of it, a lot of the odder critiques of Silver have been coming out of Politico. But that makes a kind of sense. Silver’s work poses a threat to more traditional — and, in particular, to more excitable — forms of political punditry and horse-race journalism. 
If you had to distill the work of a political pundit down to a single question, you’d have to pick the perennial “who will win the election?” During election years, that’s the question at the base of most careers in punditry, almost all cable news appearances, and most A1 news articles. Traditionally, we’ve answered that question by drawing on some combination of experience, intuition, reporting and polls. Now Silver — and Silver’s  imitators and political scientists — are taking that question away from us. It would be shocking if the profession didn’t try and defend itself.  
More recently, we in the media — and particularly we in the media at Politico — have tried to grab an edge in the race for Web traffic by hyping our election stories far beyond their actual importance. The latest gaffe is always a possible turning point, the momentum is always swinging wildly, the race is endlessly up in the air. It thus presents a bit of a problem for us if our readers then turn to sites like Silver’s and find that none of this actually appears to be true and a clear-eyed look at the data shows a fairly stable race over long periods of time.
Also, a lot of those right-winger types don't really like or trust all that math-science stuff. They want to "just-know they're right" rather than take a good reasoned look to find out what's really going on.


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11.02.2012

Those Top Tax Rates


From a Congressional Research Service Study

Here: http://graphics8.nytimes.com/news/business/0915taxesandeconomy.pdf

With more here: http://www.econbrowser.com/archives/2012/11/bringing_the_bu.html

"The top income tax rates have changed considerably since the end of World War II. Throughout the late-1940s and 1950s, the top marginal tax rate was typically above 90%; today it is 35%. Additionally, the top capital gains tax rate was 25% in the 1950s and 1960s, 35% in the 1970s; today it is 15%. The average tax rate faced by the top 0.01% of taxpayers was above 40% until the mid-1980s; today it is below 25%. Tax rates affecting taxpayers at the top of the income distribution are currently at their lowest levels since the end of the second World War.  
The results of the analysis suggest that changes over the past 65 years in the top marginal tax rate
and the top capital gains tax rate do not appear correlated with economic growth. The reduction in the top tax rates appears to be uncorrelated with saving, investment, and productivity growth. The top tax rates appear to have little or no relation to the size of the economic pie.  
However, the top tax rate reductions appear to be associated with the increasing concentration of income at the top of the income distribution. As measured by IRS data, the share of income
accruing to the top 0.1% of U.S. families increased from 4.2% in 1945 to 12.3% by 2007 before falling to 9.2% due to the 2007-2009 recession. At the same time, the average tax rate paid by the top 0.1% fell from over 50% in 1945 to about 25% in 2009. Tax policy could have a relation to how the economic pie is sliced—lower top tax rates may be associated with greater income disparities."


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11.01.2012

Late night comedians study

Study shows late night comedians dig more at Romney than all Democrats combined | Fox News:

The Propaganda Network claims that the Late Night Comedians are biased.

I claim that Late Night Comedians (along with Stewart and Colbert) are the Left's answer to Talk Radio. The Left has never been able to get a foothold in the Talk Radio Market but they've found their place in TV Comedy.

I wonder if Fox would admit that Talk Radio has a right wing bias?

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Sandy

I'd guess the storm will help Obama's image even if it's only by hurting Romney's.

“Fine, whatever, just leave me alone” | Firedoglake:
"However, Romney, nebulous assurances notwithstanding, has proposed cuts in FEMA of approximately 40%."

Who knows how it will affect turnout.



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